Price

In a prediction market, the Price of an outcome is also commonly referred to as the Odds. It represents the implied probability, or the market’s collective estimate of the percentage chance that a specific result will happen.

Prices always fluctuate between 0¢ and 100¢ ($0 to $1) based on real-time news and trader activity.

Example: If the "No change" market is trading at 95.4¢, it means the market believes there is a 95.4% chance the Fed will not change rates. If you are right, your 95.4¢ share grows to a full $1.00 at settlement.

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FAQs

What does Price mean in a prediction market?

Price, also called Odds, represents the market’s implied probability of a specific outcome occurring.

How is Price expressed?

Prices are shown between 0¢ and 100¢, which directly correspond to a 0% to 100% implied probability.

Why do Prices fluctuate?

Prices change in real time based on news, new information, and trader activity as the market updates its collective belief.

What happens to Price at settlement?

If an outcome is correct, its price settles at 100¢. If it is incorrect, it settles at 0¢.

How does Price translate into profit?

If you buy an outcome at 95.4¢ and it resolves correctly, the share settles at $1.00, meaning you earn the difference between your entry price and $1.00.