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Market

A Market is a specific tradable option within an Event. Each market tracks a particular outcome and has its own price, volume, and trading activity.

Example: Inside the Fed event, there are 4 distinct Markets you can trade: "50+ bps decrease," "25 bps decrease," "No change," and "25+ bps increase".

Each of these is a separate contract where you can buy or sell shares.

Markets typically follow one of these common patterns:

  • Binary: The most straightforward type, offering a simple Yes or No choice on a specific outcome.

  • Threshold: A directional trade where you predict if a value will be Above or Below a specific target (e.g., "Will the project's FDV be above $1B?").

  • Multi-outcome: A market featuring multiple separate results, allowing you to choose from several different possibilities.

  • Range: A quantitative structure where outcomes are grouped into specific numeric "buckets" or intervals (e.g., "Price between $10–$20").


FAQs

chevron-rightHow is a Market different from an Event?hashtag

An Event defines the overall question, while a Market defines the exact outcome you can trade on within that Event.

chevron-rightCan an Event have multiple Markets?hashtag

Yes. One Event can contain multiple Markets, each representing a different possible outcome.

chevron-rightWhat types of Markets are supported?hashtag

Markets can be Binary (Yes/No), Threshold, Multi-outcome, or Range-based depending on the structure of the Event.

chevron-rightWhy does each Market have its own price and liquidity?hashtag

Because each Market is traded independently, with its own supply, demand, and probability based on trader activity.

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